Friday, January 9, 2009

Currency Trading Tips - A Simple Tip to Warn of the Big Moves

If you want to enjoy currency trading success, you need to catch and follow trends and spot turning points and this tool will help you - it's an obvious tip in many respects but most traders simply don't use it, so here it is.

It's to look at other markets that impact on the currency you are trading and for the purposes of illustration let's look at the US Dollar.

The dollar is a net importer of energy and high energy costs hurt it and the main one we are referring to here, is crude oil. In recent history when crude has hit high levels (and we have had recent tests of $100 a barrel) it has hurt the dollar and the retreat from this level has seen the dollar stabilize and rise.

Tops in the oil market recently have warned of dollar rallies.

Another major factor is interest rates.

Recently the dollar has been hurt by the perceived view that interest rates will be cut and you can get an idea of how much by looking at interest rate futures. When the interest rate futures rally too hard to fast and then fall, you can often see the dollar rally.

Why? Because traders get ahead of themselves - the recent rally in dollar euro was preceded by 100% consensus that interest rates will be cut by 50 bps (probably true) but gave 50 - 50 that rates would be cut by 75 bps (unlikely) the level of interest rate cuts factored into the market was overdone and prices in interest rate futures fell and the dollar rallied.

Tops in oil and interest rate futures can be used to warn of dollar rallies.

Another important variable is the stock market. Weak stocks hurt the dollar and strong stock markets support it - so watch it in fact if you want another tip:

If you are trading long term trends and only want to look at the prices of currencies once a day, do it just after the stock market closes. This closing price is always significant and while currencies trade 24 hours they are effectively thinly traded until Tokyo opens and the US stock market close sets the tone for the next day

Other currencies are also affected by outside influences:

The Canadian Dollar - Is a net exporter of oil and high prices of oil and other commodities are supportive of the currency

The Australian Dollar - Australia is a big producer of gold and when gold prices are high it supports the currency.

By looking at other markets that are important to a currency, you can often spot whether trends are going to continue or reverse. While it's obvious that currencies don't move in isolation, many traders do not bother to look at other markets for clues - if you do, you can get a trading edge.

A trading edge is what forex trading is all about and if you research this tip further, you will find it very useful as part of your forex trading strategy for bigger profits.

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AP - The markets can help the nation emerge from the current financial crisis by providing transparency for secretive investments that helped fuel the disaster, but the government needs to put better rules in place to make that happen, the head of the Nasdaq stock market said Thursday.

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Thursday, January 8, 2009

Currency Trading - The Solution to Downsizing

The recent year has been a rough year for the financial markets and the global economy. Stock exchanges went down, the dollar took a dive, oil prices went up, and other prices also went up. These economic problems caused massive layoffs and huge unemployment. This situation has led to many people losing their job and stopping to bring money home. There can be many solutions, but one solution is particularly good: trading the forex market.

Forex is a short way to write foreign currency exchange, and it is a huge market. It has a volume of over three trillion dollars per day. This enormous liquidity allows you to trade at any time without the fear of getting stuck in an unwanted position. In the stock market, you can have a situation in which you have stock you cannot sell. In the currency market, there is never such situation. You can always exit a position, whether it is to prevent a loss or take a profit.

Also, the forex market never suffers from any period of "bearish" activity, or a continuous down trend. In the forex market, currencies are traded in pairs. When one currency is going up, another one is going down. This market behavior allows you to make a profit regardless of the current economic environment or currency movement.

Internationality is another great benefit of the currency market. It does not matter where you live, you can trade 24 hours a day, six days a week. Whether you live in America, Europe, or Asia, you can make money. This global market allows you to make money from other people, those who live in a better economic situation than you live in.

Experience is not something you need to start trading the forex market, and that is a great advantage, especially if you are a beginner. There are many automated trading systems which can trade for you. They are programmed by professionals, so their risk is minimal, while their profit potential is nearly unlimited.

You can get yourself a good trading system very easily. To get a good one, visit the Forex Funnel review page on Great-Info-Products and see for yourself how this system works.

About the author:

Nadav Snir is a stock market trader and forex trader. You can find more information about forex trading and forex brokers at his site at http://Great-Info-Products.com/Forex/index.html

A shopper uses her credit card to pay for a purchase at a K-Mart store in Burbank, California November 28, 2008. (Fred Prouser/Reuters)Reuters - Consumer borrowing dropped by a record $7.94 billion in November, a Federal Reserve report showed on Thursday, the latest evidence that households were unwilling or unable to take on more credit.

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